Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 8.798816 10.211208 11.728822 13.475092 15.423129 17.523558 19.953552
2025-05-04 7.006838 8.837871 10.932535 13.486713 16.496709 19.910395 24.052852
2025-05-11 5.492236 7.465862 9.852216 12.910816 16.684686 21.145119 26.768380
2025-05-18 4.539710 6.598561 9.212522 12.709702 17.194770 22.679398 29.811003
2025-05-25 3.768512 5.837335 8.586834 12.412832 17.493012 23.895027 32.446464
2025-06-01 3.203331 5.266969 8.128147 12.254139 17.904936 25.216535 35.213259
2025-06-08 2.694385 4.701913 7.603772 11.935228 18.044661 26.147801 37.468639
2025-06-15 2.385596 4.390557 7.397329 12.021657 18.710376 27.769125 40.655409
2025-06-22 2.082299 4.045286 7.099935 11.938834 19.111702 29.023727 43.368786
2025-06-29 1.874787 3.827467 6.969680 12.080510 19.822180 30.709927 46.703770
2025-07-06 1.696196 3.634443 6.855867 12.228708 20.534357 32.407877 50.091565
2025-07-13 1.580750 3.537584 6.884776 12.591810 21.571276 34.590246 54.209677
2025-07-20 1.452012 3.402230 6.839957 12.836368 22.443118 36.572146 58.118835
2025-07-27 1.296356 3.194286 6.650673 12.828279 22.916354 37.977651 61.232324
2025-08-03 1.078993 2.831047 6.152507 12.267067 22.483788 38.011632 62.339558
2025-08-10 0.939951 2.608066 5.883908 12.070630 22.612432 38.878043 64.676685
2025-08-17 0.807815 2.378413 5.578739 11.784347 22.571750 39.472350 66.610818
2025-08-24 0.707038 2.203075 5.359406 11.631508 22.736556 40.378545 69.025697
2025-08-31 0.603679 2.002868 5.069221 11.325389 22.620970 40.831292 70.750033
2025-09-07 0.547871 1.911751 4.992187 11.408163 23.169119 42.345172 74.134284
2025-09-14 0.484542 1.789361 4.836621 11.328689 23.426525 43.393729 76.814342
2025-09-21 0.444302 1.722779 4.794605 11.464536 24.065241 45.073178 80.515366
2025-09-28 0.408196 1.661424 4.757889 11.606664 24.717341 46.787928 84.305658